Tuesday, February 28, 2012

The wave of bad news from the U.S.


After several winning streaks of good news, exceeded expectations, is now bad for the U.S. economy.
Is the recession called only after all? QE3, which is focusing on mortgages likely to again.
Orders for durable goods fell by 4%. A slight decrease of 0.8% expected. We do not have to find solace in the central figure fell by 3.2%. No change was expected there.
It is important to remember that the level of the two indicators was very good for the last time, 3.2% in the total figure and 2.1% in the central figure. This can be corrected, and figures can still be revised upwards.
EQ3 is the number with the S & P / Case-Schiller home prices combined. It has been shown to expect year after year decrease of 4%, worse than the 3.7% last month, worse than the 3.6%.
The housing industry and in particular the question of foreclosed homes are the questions Bernanke speaks very often. The Federal Reserve is considering a third round of quantitative easing, or buying bonds (or the printing of U.S. dollars), and one option is to purchase mortgage-backed assets (MBA) in order to help this sector.
The FOMC meets on 13 Of March. Much depends on another factor mentioned by the Fed: an investigation. Payrolls next 9th March will be closely monitored.
The dollar now, but it is unclear whether this is the movement of risk aversion. Bad numbers could become QE3, and weighing on the dollar.

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